California in Play?
Posted by Moonage on 29 Oct 2004 | Tagged as: 2004 Presidential Election
Kerry’s edge on Bush in California narrows
By Bill Ainsworth
STAFF WRITER
October 29, 2004
SACRAMENTO - Democrat John Kerry’s lead over President Bush has narrowed to seven points among likely California voters, while Sen. Barbara Boxer has increased her lead over Republican Bill Jones to 19 points, according to the latest Field Poll.
If there’s any validity to this claim at all, Kerry is toast. He doesn’t have to lose California to be toast, but if there is enough doubt about Kerry in the most liberal state in the country barring possibly Vermont, there’s a weakness in the states where the balance between liberals and conservatives are more equal such as Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania (not dismissing other states, but these three are in-play and most likely will determine the election). A perceived weakness within his core voting block within days of the election could prove fatal.
Host note: Although there is no way in hell Kerry will lose California, he is showing signs of weakness there that is not all that new. On most electoral vote prognostication pages, most have not had California in the “strong Kerry” column.
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