It’s the economy, stupid
On a long list of issues, including Iraq and “ethics/corruption,” 23 percent cited the economy as their top concern, up from 17 percent in May.
I have been the firm believer that all politics is local. it’s not my idea, but I sure do believe it. I have said so repeatedly.
I listed those posts for a reason. The MSNBC article does exactly the same thing many other people have done in the past. They dismiss the poll numbers by justifying things that don’t matter. “Burning scandal in Washington” being a perfect example. When Bilbray took Cunningham’s seat, it was in the midst of a scandal. When I posted “It’s the economy”, anti-war sentiment was all over the media. Now, they’re attributing other things to equivocate this poll’s numbers.
I’ll try to make this simple. All politics is local. I don’t mean that in the sense that people don’t care about the War in Iraq or pedophiles in DC. I mean that the overwhelming issue is how each individual voter perceives their situation. Sure, they may totally disagree with the War in Iraq, but if their representative is bringing in jobs that affect them, and their economic situation is satisfactory, their situation will trump a war IN Iraq every single time. The only district that will be affected by the sex scandal is the district he represented. People love good gossip, but it’s meaningless in their individual world. And, I don’t know how often I’ve heard people talk about how crooked everyone in DC is, but my Congressman’s an honest man.
So, as wishful as MSNBC may be that the Republicans will go down in flames because for the first time ever people will look at world events and consider it more important than the well-being of their own family, I just don’t see it happening. What I do see happening is in the seats totally up for grabs, people will follow the age-old tradition of voting for the minority party in an off-year. But, that’s not enough to swing the power any significant amount.
I really think the MSNBC’s are going to be greatly disappointed in a couple of weeks when once again people look at their individual situations and come to the conclusion things aren’t so bad.